Thirteen months remain until the regional elections and all Balearic parties are already in full electoral campaign mode or, failing that, will be very soon.

Starting this week, we'll begin to see where the relationship between the PP and Vox might be headed, and therefore, we'll have a rough idea of ​​how it will impact Balearic politics right after next year's elections.

Sometimes you hear or read that the PP's resounding electoral defeat in the Balearic Islands in 2015 was a direct consequence of the popular uprising against the aberrant anti-Catalan policies of José Ramón Bauzá's government. No, that wasn't it.

Since polls have become an essential part of party tactics—properly presented by media outlets aligned with each party—the successive waves of published polls form a jungle of data from which it is sometimes difficult to extract anything meaningful. However, because polling firms do their job well—most of them, at least—they provide highly relevant information, regardless of how the polls are presented by the leading publications of each political camp.

Among some progressives, talking about demographic replacement is frowned upon. Because Vox says so Regarding immigration from Muslim-majority countries, they find the concept tainted. The same applies to immigration in general; they believe it's also inappropriate to call immigrants "immigrants" because that's what xenophobic neo-fascists call them. So they've decided that "migrated people" or "migrants" is more humane, even though the different words—logically—define different situations for the person: "a person is a 'partner' and an 'immigrant' wherever they arrive." However, whatever they call it, it doesn't change the nature of the fact: demographic replacement is a reality. And it is because the enormous number of immigrants who have arrived during the last half-century has transformed the pre-existing social structure. The expert in population evolution, Pere Salvà, said—in an interview with me published in September—that the islanders who lived in the province in 1975 now represent—taking into account natural increase—25% of the total registered population.

Francoism did not disappear with the dictator's death. The fact that around fifty names of Francoists remain on the streets of the Balearic Islands is not a worrying legacy. Nor is it—although it is striking enough—that one can still see the occasional yoke and arrows symbol.