It has won the last three elections in Catalonia, but the doors of the Generalitat remain closed to the PSC. At least until the next Catalan elections. The socialists are soaring in the polls and if elections were held today in Parliament, Salvador Illa would clearly win with between 39 and 45 seats, ahead of ERC (29-34) and Junts (19-24), who have been losing ground as the legislature has progressed. The results are collected by the Barometer of the Center for Opinion Studies (CEO), which was made public today, the day after Pedro Sánchez's investiture, although the polls were conducted a few weeks ago, before the PSOE's agreements with ERC and Junts. the day after Pedro Sánchez's investiture, even though the polls were conducted a few weeks ago, before the PSOE's agreements with ERC and Junts. In the July poll, the PSC was also first, but with an estimate of 31-37 seats, practically tied with Esquerra, which obtained between 31 and 36.

The electoral cycle is tinged with blue. The PP has advanced strongly everywhere, but especially in Andalusia, in the Valencian Country and also in Madrid, in both regional and municipal elections. Now it hopes to do the same in the general elections on July 23, as all polls predict, including the CIS poll. They are, along with Catalonia, the key territories to pave the way to Moncloa. For this reason, it is in the Principality where the socialists are risking a good part of their credit. Pedro Sánchez knows that the differential he achieves with the PP in Catalonia could end up being decisive, especially if he loses momentum in other autonomies. The PSC will win the elections by a wide margin, according to the poll that the Opinòmetre Institute has conducted for ARA. With a range of between 14 and 16 deputies, the socialists will return to the first position fifteen years later. And what will be the differential with the PP? The popular party, also on the rise, capturing the majority of Cs' vote, would be left with between 5 and 7 deputies in the Spanish Congress.