The elections in Galicia are becoming increasingly tight and the PP sees its absolute majority fully in danger even before the Puigdemont effect was triggered by the proposal for a conditional pardon for the former president by Alberto Núñez Feijóo. This is revealed by the latest poll from the Sociological Research Center (CIS) prior to this Sunday's regional elections, in which the popular party led by Alfonso Rueda has stalled at 42.2% of the votes and between 34 and 38 seats –the same as in the previous survey–, while the Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG) is soaring. The sovereignists are reaching 33.4% of the ballots, with growth that would allow them to reach between 24 and 31 deputies, a historic record for the formation. If the CIS is correct, this double scenario makes the conservative absolute majority in Parliament hang by a thread. In parallel, the PSdeG-PSOE is sinking to 18% of the support, placing it between 9 and 14 deputies, in a particularly negative result for the socialist candidacy.

MÁS per Mallorca reached its electoral peak in 2015, when it garnered nearly 60,000 votes and won six seats in the Balearic Parliament. This is the most significant result for the eco-sovereignist party, which has historically secured four seats and between 35,000 and 40,000 votes (four representatives and 37,651 votes in 2023). The party has called a general assembly this weekend to decide how to approach the 2027 elections. While it has a stable voter base, can the island party aspire to broader appeal?